The Rise of the Empire

Chapter 2887 Multiple calculations 3

"Perhaps the attitude of Germany and Austria toward Turkey is that it is an insignificant ally at best, and a neutral country that poses no threat at worst? To a certain extent, Germany and the United States are consistent in weakening Turkey. ” Reza Khan said to himself while turning the cup in his hand.

"But the Germans and Americans have different attitudes towards Persia. In the eyes of the Germans, we are a barrier blocking Russia's southward movement, and we are also the cornerstone of balancing the new Turkey in the future. We will not challenge the German hegemony because we Too weak. The Turks owned the entire Asia Minor, half of the Balkans and the entire Fertile Crescent. (This is the arc area from Jordan, Lebanon, Syria to Iraq in later generations.) But our territory is limited. Our population is also limited. Our military strength is even greater. It’s so weak that it’s not even as good as the two German armies!”

Before doing big things, you must understand your own strength and understand your position. This is called self-knowledge. If you want to punch or kick the powerful country when your head is hot, there will be no good results. Therefore, Reza Khan must know what Persia is, what the great powers' attitude towards Persia is, what his expectations are, and which great powers can seek common ground while reserving differences with him, and finally achieve a compromise that everyone feels is acceptable.

In Reza Khan's view, Germany's requirements for Persia are actually very low. It is nothing more than to stand on its own side and carry out some economic cooperation between the two sides to completely exclude the United States and Russia from the Middle East and block Russia's path to the south. It is necessary At that time, some ports or military bases may be leased. Of course, the scale will not be large, because if they deal with Russia, the Germans will have a better starting position, and to the north of Persia is Central Asia, which is not Russia's core ruling area. Isn't it better to attack from here instead of seeking the distance?

As for dealing with India? Reza Khan thought it was unlikely from a military point of view. After all, the so-called "hitting a snake seven inches", the British Empire's homeland is at the door of Germany. The Germans have solved the British mainland, and India itself will be in chaos. How can it need special deployment? What about a large number of troops attacking India?

Therefore, Reza Khan felt that Germany did not have many demands on Persia. But the United States and Russia have too many demands on Persia. Russia lost the Transcaucasus oil fields, so Russia changed from the world's second largest oil exporter to an importer. (No other major oil fields had been discovered in Russia during this time.) Therefore, Russia needed Persian oil. Of course, this kind of need is not an equal transaction, because Russia does not have the money to trade fairly. Although the Americans have money, wouldn't it be better if they could not spend money?

Russia needs food from Persia, and the reason is also very simple. Russia has lost its most important production area, the Ukrainian region, known as Europe's bread basket. Russia still has vast land, but it lacks enough manpower and time to cultivate it. If If possible, the Russians are naturally willing to turn Iran into their bread basket. And what will be the attitude of Americans? They will naturally gravitate toward Russia, which is stronger and more useful!

Also from a military perspective, what would happen if Persia sided with the United States and Russia? In Reza Khan's view, if he followed Germany, Persia would be nothing more than a corner piece, as long as the status quo was maintained. But if you side with the United States and Russia, it will be different, because the United States needs a platform that can directly attack the vital points of the allies.

At present, Persia is just close to this key point, and the name of this key point is the Transcaucasus Oil Field! Persia is not only a channel in the US plan, but also the front line of attack! Large-scale strategic bombing has shown its terrifying power at the end of the war. What happened in London can explain it all. Even though it is impossible for the Americans to cross the complex terrain of the Transcaucasus and occupy the Baku oil fields, their bomber groups deployed in Persia But it can threaten this place!

Moreover, if Persia occupied the Mesopotamia, it would not be a good thing for Persia, but a disaster! the reason is simple! The Persian border moved directly westward for hundreds of kilometers! The powerful German army can reach Persia's new border as long as it crosses Asia Minor. So, everything else is clear, and Germany has no reason not to take action against Persia!

The United States, Russia, and perhaps the United Kingdom in the future. Can these three countries defeat the Allies? Reza Khan didn't know, but he knew that once the two sides took action in the Mesopotamia, Persia would be the most unlucky! There is a well-known proverb that when two elephants fight, the most unlucky thing is the grass under the elephant’s feet! It has nothing to do with who wins the fight between these two elephants! Grass is the most unlucky! Germany has no reason to let Persia go, whether from the perspective of protecting its own oil fields or cutting off Russia's foreign aid!

"If it really comes to this level, I feel that unless the Germans are completely defeated, they will not stop their offensive against us. No matter what the outcome of the war, our country will become a scorched earth, and I think that in future wars, The Allies will have a greater chance of winning. The United States is too far away from the battlefield. The Russians and British are right at the door of the Allies. It is a very bad geographical environment." Reza Khan drank all the remaining coffee and drank the caffeine. Under the stimulation, he became sober as never before!

Okay, after figuring out all the issues, it’s time to implement it. Judging from the king’s performance during today’s meeting, the Shah wanted to keep him by his side. After all, he single-handedly promoted Reza Khan and held the Kingdom of Persia in his hands. If the most elite military cannot solve the problem on its own, then I am afraid there will be no other military power in the country that can be counted on. Therefore, it is possible for Reza Khan to stay in the rear, whether in Tehran or on the northern front. In other words, it all depends on what Reza Khan thinks.

"So am I in Munich or on the Northern Front?" Reza Khan weighed the pros and cons of the two options. If he stayed in Munich, he would naturally be the safest, and it would be easiest to overthrow Qajar at the right time. Dynasty, Reza Khan has two goals. One goal is to kill the American and Russian armies in Persia, and the other goal is to replace them!

From a purely utilitarian point of view, it was the easiest and highest security factor for Reza Khan to let the Germans kill the Russians in the north, then take care of the Shah himself and establish a new dynasty. But this drawback is also obvious. What would the Germans think of his behavior like picking peaches? Do you feel that you lack sincerity and are just taking advantage of Germany's power?

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