Global Monopoly of Technology

Chapter five hundred and seventy-three [discussion and debate]

Luo Sheng saw the eyes of all the bigwigs come to focus, and everyone looked at him silently as if they were willing to hear the details.

I saw Luo Sheng opened a folder he had put on the desktop, and found a manuscript from it. This was the manuscript he drove out overnight yesterday for today's seminar.

In the past, at some business forum exchange conferences, he basically did not use manuscripts, but today he must use it here, otherwise it would be frivolous, but when it comes to national defense strategy, it is not frivolous, even if it is clear.

Luo Sheng organized his speech in his mind, and then said calmly: "Artificial intelligence has entered the field of national defense strategy and national security, and is regarded as a revolutionary technology, comparable to the discovery of fuel, electricity or nuclear weapons. Artificial intelligence technology is in To a certain extent it has had a transformative effect on the world, for example in science and social media."

"How to look at the revolutionary artificial intelligence technology, whether the consequences for the national security strategy and future international stability are positive, negative, or dual, with the gradual deepening of the understanding of the militarization of artificial intelligence, these issues will The answer may be available in the next few years."

At this time, the old general stared at Luo Sheng and asked a few questions that the military wanted to know and were actively exploring at this stage:

“So, what are the possible military applications of AI in the near term? What factors have potential impact on the stability of strategic deterrence? Related to this are how AI can change the rationale for deterrence? How can AI military systems affect regional stability? What will be the link to strategic deterrence? What will be the risk of unintended consequences and strategic outcomes from AI?”

These six questions can be said to run through the core of this seminar. The old general did not say much, but they all pointed to the root of the problem.

As a soldier, national defense and security are always the first priority of all considerations.

Luo Sheng was silent for a moment, looked at the content of the manuscript in his hand, and said, "The military application of artificial intelligence should be divided into two categories, namely, applications at the operational level and applications at the strategic level."

Everyone nodded silently and agreed.

Luo Sheng continued: "As far as the application of war operations is concerned, the first is ubiquitous and omniscient unmanned systems; the second is big data-driven modeling, simulation and warfare systems; the third is intelligence collection and analysis. The fourth is an integrated system to support precision intelligence systems, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR); the fifth is a precision strike system for strategic targets; the sixth is an effective missile defense system; and the seventh is an artificial intelligence network.”

After discussing the seven application levels he described, Luo Sheng deconstructed them one by one in detail: "The development of a new generation of unmanned systems is a high priority for artificial intelligence military applications.

The focus is on navigation systems for various ground, marine and aerial unmanned systems, and air and sea platforms will also benefit from AI-based guidance systems…”

Everyone in the meeting listened, whispering and nodding from time to time, and at the same time they were quite surprised.

The old general looked at Luo Sheng and smiled: "It seems that you have done a lot of research on the application of this technology to militarization, not bad."

Of course Luo Sheng studied it, but said humbly: "The chief is too rewarded. I am a half-hearted military fan at best, and some of my humble opinions should be considered carefully. I can't afford this mistake in national defense and security."

Don't care about other things, first come with a "disclaimer", then the basic operation and excellent risk control awareness.

Another military technology research scholar who attended the meeting said with a smile: "No, Mr. Luo, your analysis is quite professional, most of which coincide with the military's exploration, and some supplements are even more eye-catching. Liang, in the end, is an expert in the field of artificial intelligence, more thorough than us, your opinions and suggestions are very meaningful, and you don’t need to be humble.”

The seminar was quite relaxed, and Luo Sheng continued to answer the last question asked by the old general, saying: "In terms of the possible unintended consequences of artificial intelligence and the risks of strategic results, I personally believe that the negative effects of this disruptive technology may include the following: 11 aspects."

Everyone was surprised when they heard it, and the previous participant said: "There are so many?"

Luo Sheng said: "It's just some analysis of potential possibilities."

The old general said succinctly: "Which 11 aspects?"

Luo Sheng organized his words and explained them one by one:

"AI could increase the risk of war by weakening strategic weaknesses on both sides."

"Competition to gain advantage could introduce new uncertainties into the future military balance."

"AI systems are susceptible to unintended consequences from input data."

"Rapid decision-making and combat operations may struggle to serve effective crisis management objectives."

"Many of the potentially positive regional deterrent effects from integrated ISR, defense, and complex battle management common sense cannot be realized in the short term."

"Big data and machine deep learning may not address the challenges of strategic warnings."

"The tight operation and integration of multiple AI systems can have unintended consequences, as required by the battlefield."

"With or without humans involved in every part of the decision-making process, the cycle will become more and more crowded."

"Everyone has a different view and position on AI."

"Public-private partnerships will determine the future of artificial intelligence, but war remains a state's right."

"Lastly, war and peace cannot and will not be the result of predictive analysis."

Luo Sheng stopped talking about the 11 risks of artificial intelligence he listed. Then everyone in the meeting had a big discussion on the potential risks of these 11 aspects.

Obviously, everyone attaches great importance to this and also recognizes it.

After ten minutes of exchange and discussion, the old general also ended his silence and said: "The problems faced by the early internal combustion engine are reliability, cost, lack of standards for machines, lack of consistency in production, and the complexity of internal combustion engine-driven vehicles that lead to failures. usually."

While speaking, the old general glanced at Luo Sheng, then looked around the crowd and continued: "Whenever new technologies appear, this familiar story seems to repeat itself. They can give people greater abilities at the time, and at the same time have great security and reliability risks.”

“Sometimes, like an internal combustion engine or an airplane, these kinds of problems can be solved. Other times, like a military-use airship or airship, the safety issues are so big that the technology can never be as reliable and effective as the alternatives.”

Immediately after the old general's speech, Luo Sheng said: "Artificial intelligence and the future of war. The impact of this technology on the world will be far greater than the impact of military power and war. The role of automation in future work will bring unprecedented economic and social effects.”

A military expert who attended the meeting immediately looked at Luo Sheng and said: "Whether or not to develop military-specific artificial intelligence applications, artificial intelligence will be an inevitable choice for the military. The national defense security strategy is attracting academia, business and the military. , perhaps the Americans know better than the British a century ago that widespread technological change affects their military superiority, but not enough to guarantee their victory.”

For a moment, he added again: "This is especially true when people think that all technology, at its core, is how people and organizations are used. From the bow and arrow that defeated the knight to the naval aviation that ended the era of battleship dominance, power The country thought it was still in a leadership position until a home defeat and history was turned upside down."

"We don't know if the same will be true of AI for military use, and even now this workshop on the future of AI and its safety and reliability is somewhat uncertain, maybe 20 years from now. , as a national strategic security analyst, considering the breadth of technologies and specific technologies, it is highly likely that the emergence of the era of artificial intelligence will, to some extent, reshape the global military in the future.”

Luo Sheng was noncommittal about this. After the other party finished speaking, Luo Sheng continued to express his own opinions, saying: "The advantage of artificial intelligence is that despite the safety and reliability problems, it can also foresee the situation of sitting still when it leads the global military field. Risk. From data processing to swarm concepts to battlefield management, AI can help the military move quickly and accurately while putting fewer people at risk.”

“Or not, the security and reliability issues specific to current machine deep learning and neural network approaches, which also mean issues such as adversarial data, are challenges for many military AI technologies. But I cannot deny that AI Application in the field of national defense is the general trend, but the country needs it, and I will do my best to contribute my modest contribution."

Hearing Luo Sheng's final statement, the military bosses present nodded secretly and were quite happy.

Everyone in the meeting participated in the discussion, expressed their opinions, and spoke freely. During the seminar, the debate was also extremely fierce.

The core of the discussion is constant discussion and debate. Only with debate can potential hidden problems become clearer and clearer.

In fact, the military started a dialectic about the application of artificial intelligence technology in the military field as early as five years ago, and it is becoming clearer and clearer.

At the end, the veteran general who attended the meeting said again: "The military is highly concerned about the rapid expansion of the militarization of artificial intelligence to ensure that the country obtains the greatest advantage, minimizes the negative impact on strategic stability, and prevents strategic surprises."

As soon as these words came out, it was confirmed that the military's application of artificial intelligence in the military field was a certainty. Just like nuclear weapons, the best means and best solution to get rid of nuclear blackmail and nuclear threats is to have nuclear weapons.

The rationale is the same.

In the next three days, Luo Sheng and the people from the Academy of National Defense Military Strategy conducted intensive discussions and exchanges for three consecutive days, and the results became more and more clear.

On the afternoon of the third day, Yang Hongyi found Luo Sheng again.

"Mr. Luo, after the military's research and decision, I was assigned to communicate with you. I am directly responsible for the military. At the same time, the military has also decided to give you three secret projects on artificial intelligence."

In the room at the moment, there are only two people, Major Yang Hongyi and Luo Sheng. The latter immediately asked, "Which three aspects of the project?"

...

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