Bulgarian Empire

Following Ferdinand's order, most of the grain originally shipped from Russia to the European continent for sale was intercepted by Bulgaria halfway.

No, I bought it! Anyway, for Mao Xiong, food is for sale, who is it not for sale? As long as Bulgaria can afford the money, it's no big deal to go home early.

As for what will happen in Europe? Do you even need to think about it? Of course, food prices are rising!

Bulgaria is increasing its grain storage, and other countries are not idle!

The British are not in a hurry, relying on the presence of the Royal Navy, there is a lot of food in the colonies that can be shipped over. It is nothing more than a little higher shipping costs. If the international food price rises, it will rise. If the price is high, it will be a big deal to sell the food in the colonies. !

It doesn't matter to the French, since it is a big exporter of grain, the price increase is just right, and it can make a lot of money! It's a pity that now is not the time to make money, but it doesn't matter that the Gallic Chicken is not short of this money!

Compared with the Allied countries, they can achieve food self-sufficiency. The British don’t have enough food locally, but there are plenty of them in the colonies. Bulgaria stores food for war preparations. It is also a food exporter, but the export volume is small.

The allies are struggling, and the Ottoman Empire can still be self-sufficient. As for food exports, their agricultural production technology is still in the last century, so don't think about it!

Romania and the Austro-Hungarian Empire are not bad, both are major food exporters in Europe, otherwise Ferdinand suspects that Germany and Italy will be hungry now.

Bulgaria's actions caused a chain reaction. Both Britain and France tacitly restricted the flow of food to the allies, and the Russians' food was cut off by Bulgaria.

The grain from the Austro-Hungarian Empire and Romania alone can make up for the food shortage of Germany and Italy, but it is not enough to make strategic reserves. Then several European grain exporting countries such as the Netherlands, Denmark, and Sweden have made a fortune.

However, none of this had anything to do with Ferdinand. Right now, he was leading a group of dignitaries and staff to analyze the power balance between the Allies and the Entente.

The population comparison is as follows: (Estimated population of each country in 1914)

Allies: about 6.69 million in Germany, about 5.42 million in the Austro-Hungarian Empire (including Serbia), about 21 million in the Ottoman Empire (minus immigration and war losses, historically 2.38 million), about 3.51 million in Italy, and 6.85 million in Romania , The Kingdom of Montenegro is 1.26 million (including the population expelled by the protagonist), totaling: 185.31 million people.

The Allies: about 165 million in the Russian Empire (after deducting the population reduction caused by immigration), about 4.56 million in the British Empire, about 3.97 million in the French Republic, and about 2.78 million in Bulgaria, totaling: 278.1 million people.

It is obvious that the Allied Powers have an advantage in terms of manpower, with more than 90 million people more than the Allies, and this is without counting the colonies. Otherwise, the population of the colonies of the British Empire alone would be more than 400 million. There is no way to compare.

In terms of economy, Bulgaria has been exploding its production capacity in recent years, and the Germans have not been idle, and have also adopted radical measures to increase production capacity.

...

From the gross national income, it can be seen that:

Germany $12 billion

UK $1.1 billion

Tsarist Russia 7 billion US dollars

France $6 billion

$4 billion in Italy

Bulgaria $3.8 billion

Austria-Hungary $3 billion

US$13.7 billion

Japan $2 billion

Remarks: Gross national income is not equal to industry. Many things in it are false and pushed up. If you don’t understand it, just look at the stock market.

Comprehensive national strength ranking:

1. UK

2. Germany

3. France

4. Russia

5. United States, Austria-Hungary

6. Italy, Bulgaria

7. Japan

8. Republic of China

9. The Ottoman Empire

1o. Kingdom of Spain

Don't be absolutely surprised. At that time, the Americans did not have a high voice in the world, not even comparable to Italy.

At the end of the military power, the comprehensive evaluation is naturally not high. Putting them in fifth place is due to Ferdinand's emphasis on the importance of the economy many times, otherwise the ranking of the Americans will be forgotten.

In 1910, in a ranking of the comprehensive strengths of various countries by the London Daily, the United States was tied with Japan at the bottom of the powers after the major European powers. In the eyes of Europeans in this era, American hotshots have no status!

Number of Naval Personnel of Great Powers 6 in 1914

Russia 1.468 million

France 967,000

Germany 943,000

Austria-Hungary 736,000

UK 63.9

Italy 6o.3 million

Bulgaria 596,000

Ottoman Empire 581,000

Japan 3o.6 million

Romania 2o.1 million

US 164,000

Kingdom of Montenegro 76,000

Countries' share of world industrial production:

US 31.8%

Germany 14.8%

UK 13.6%

Russia 8%

France 6%

Austria-Hungary 4.4%

Bulgaria 4.3%

Italy 2.3%

Japan 1%

Steel production by country:

3.18 million tons in the United States

1.76 million tons in Germany

7.78 million tons in the UK

Russia 4.91 million tons

France 4.68 million tons

Bulgaria 2.62 million tons

Austria-Hungary 2.61 million tons

Italy 930,000 tons

Japan 320,000 tons

Coal production by country:

530 million tons in the United States

Tsarist Russia 360 million tons,

292 million tons in the UK,

Germany 277.2 million tons,

Austria-Hungary 5.42 million tons,

France 40800,000 tons

Bulgaria 3.36 million tons

Japan 14.15 million tons

700,000 tons in Italy

...

After some comparison, Ferdinand found that the advantages of the Allied Powers over the Allied Powers were mainly concentrated in the three aspects of population, resources, and shipping. Far from thinking about the disparity in strength between the two sides that the network experts are talking nonsense about!

In fact, the current military strength of the Allies and the Allies is very close, mainly for the army, and the staff has also come up with a coefficient through the comprehensive record score.

Calculated by taking the average combat power level of the six armies of European countries as 1:

Germany 1.8 (recognized at the time as the first without explanation)

France 1.6 (first in the world before)

Bulgaria 1.6 (record in two Balkan wars)

Russia 1.2 (European steamroller, points deducted for poor performance in the Far East)

Japan 1.2 (Russian-Japanese War)

Kingdom of Montenegro 1.2 (Balkan Wars)

Austria-Hungary 1.1 (points deducted for suppressing the Serbian Revolution)

Ottoman Empire 1.1 (new army trained by Germans)

Romania 1 (2nd Balkan War performance is average)

British o.7 (points deducted for the Anglo-Boer War)

U.S. o.7 (deducted points for the Spanish-American War)

Italy o.5 (points deducted for the Ethiopian war)

Well, the staff department is completely based on combat performance, and it also combines the commanding ability of officers, the will to fight of soldiers, and weapons and equipment.

Of course, Ferdinand knew that this ranking was very unreliable. At least the British's ranking was not so low. After the lobster soldiers went through the Boer War, their combat effectiveness was still greatly improved.

Moreover, every country has elites and cannon fodder. If you use the elites to fight against the militia of the other side, maybe the Italians can beat the Germans. Of course, this is unlikely to happen. Under normal circumstances, the commander on the battlefield only You are not stupid, you will not use the militia as the main force!

However, Ferdinand believes that the ranking of the Army's comprehensive combat effectiveness is still very reliable: (the ranking is based on a comprehensive estimate of the number of active troops, combat effectiveness, and equipment)

1. Germany

2. Russia (human sea tactics are still very good in this era)

3. France

4. Bulgaria

5. The Austro-Hungarian Empire

6. United Kingdom

7. Japan (the equipment is too backward)

8. The Ottoman Empire

9. Italy (by virtue of equipment and quantity)

1o. Romania

11. Kingdom of Montenegro

The United States (don't expect the combat effectiveness of the only tens of thousands of army)

In contrast, the ranking of the navy is much more reliable. It is directly based on the tonnage of the warship. The situation where the weak wins over the strong is based on the premise that the opponent is not in the state, or the strength is close, and the luck is against the sky. Otherwise, the main factor that determines the outcome of a battle between the technical services of the navy is still the ship!

After all, in a confrontation between a destroyer and a dreadnought, you don't need to think about the result!

The total warship tonnage is as follows:

1. 2.71 million tons in the UK

2. 1.3 million tons in Germany

3. 980,000 tons in the United States

4. 900,000 tons in France

5. Russia 710,000 tons

6. Japan 670,000 tons

7. Italy 490,000 tons

8. Austria-Hungary and Bulgaria 260,000 tons each

Of course, in fact, there is still a big error in this ranking, that is, the performance of warships is ignored. For example, the Russian navy has a large tonnage now, but they do not have dreadnoughts. Nothing compares.

According to the plan of the General Department of Secrecy, once the war breaks out, the Bulgarian army must expand to 1.5 million within a week, and to 2 million within half a month, before it can catch the Austro-Hungarian Empire by surprise. Take Belgrade.

At that time, the formation of cannon fodder troops can be sent up to slowly fight the war of attrition with the Austro-Hungarian army; after completing this strategy, attack Romania and seize the Wallachia Plain to solve the war once and for all. If the war continues, there may be food question.

After completing these two strategies, it is time to attack the Asia Minor peninsula and gain enough living space for Bulgaria.

Of course, these three strategies must be implemented at the same time in actual operation. After all, the enemy is not a fool, so why wait for you to attack?

It's just a matter of focus. Compared with Belgrade's other two strategic goals, the urgency is certainly not so serious. After all, it took time for the Austro-Hungarian Empire to react, and it became a decisive battle between the two countries!

And Romania and the Ottoman Empire must have strength even if they have reacted? As long as the battlefield is placed on their vital points, the two countries will have to fight Bulgaria!

Ferdinand didn't want to fight the Austro-Hungarian Empire prematurely, mainly because he was afraid that the end of the Austro-Hungarian Empire would cause a chain reaction. It would be miserable if the Germans made a dying counterattack and dragged Bulgaria to the end.

In contrast, it would be much safer to lock the Balkan gates and stand still, just to bully the Kingdom of Montenegro, Romania, and the Ottoman Empire, and at the same time, you could have an explanation to your allies.

Obviously, this strategic plan was not formulated according to the military's intentions, and it is not the best choice militaryly, but it is in the best interest of Bulgaria politically!

This was naturally the result of Ferdinand's personal intervention. If you consider the overall situation of the Allies, Bulgaria's first choice is to directly defeat the Austro-Hungarian Empire and join hands with Russia to kill him first.

Theoretically, under the full blow of Russia and Bulgaria, the Austro-Hungarian Empire would not be able to last long. Even if the allies other than Germany came to help with all their strength, this result would not be changed!

Once Germany deploys its main force to reinforce the Austro-Hungarian Empire and fight on three fronts at the same time, no matter how strong the German army is, it will not be able to do it, at least their number of troops is not enough!

There is no doubt that there are not two or three million troops on the western front alone, and William II will not be able to sleep. There are not many other things in the hands of Britain and France, but a lot of cannon fodder! Once there is a loophole in the defense line, Britain and France don't mind sacrificing millions of cannon fodder to win the war!

In this case, there are not many troops that the Germans can use on the Eastern Front, at most two to three million. If it is only facing Bulgaria or the Russians in one direction, it is fine; It's the same, even with the cooperation of the Allied forces!

As for one against two, or one against three, it could only happen when the combat effectiveness of the two armies is very different. Obviously, this situation does not exist.

...

A stable military strategy, but a political failure. Ferdinand did not have the spirit of internationalism. The Allied Powers won the war too easily, which is not a good thing for Bulgaria!

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